CHANGES PROJECT
The growth of a tumor, the size of the national debt, numbers of people
who do a certain thing, the temperature of a cup of hot tea . . . many things
change over time.
ASSIGNMENT OVERVIEW
Select something that interests you that changes numerically over time.
Measure, record, and graph what changes your topic displays over time.
Calculate basic statistics such as mean. median and mode for your data. Predict how your topic might be in the future.
Report your findings to some appropriate person or group.
Before you begin working, make sure you check with me regarding the
suitability of your topic and your plans for collecting, measuring, and
reporting data. Use the methods
we study in class or talk with me about other ways to collect and measure
information. Be sure to discuss
techniques you might use to make predictions regarding what might happen in
the future.
Your final report should be written for an appropriate audience such as
a government agency, business, school district, etc.
In addition to using several methods for reporting data and making
predictions, your report should include a discussion of how appropriate your
method is for the situation you chose to examine
(That is, how sure are you that you are right).
Discuss what should people do about the situation if it turns out that
you are right. Also include what
factors could make your prediction wrong and some implications of what might
happen if your prediction is wrong.
SCORING
For
each "WONDERFUL", you will receive 4 points.
For
each "OK", you will receive 3 points.
For
each "REVISE", you will receive 2 points.
For
each "REDO", you will receive 1 point.
To
get an A on this assignment, you will need at least 18 points.
To
get a B, you will need at least 16 points.
To
get a C, you will need at least 14 points.
To
get a D, you will need at least 12 points.
You may turn in any part of this assignment EARLY and redo it ONCE if
you do not like your grade. However,
projects must be turned in enough before the deadline to allow sufficient time
for the instructor to grade the assignment, make comments and/or have a
conference with you, return the project to you, and you still have the revised
project turned in for the second time by the assigned deadline date.
Late work is unacceptable, so plan ahead.
I) CHOOSING A TOPIC:
Write
a paragraph stating what you plan to measure, how you plan to measure it or from
where you will get your information, the times you plan to make the
measurements, to whom you will address your report, and why this topic is
important to you.
Your
project must satisfy the following conditions:
1) You must write a
paragraph stating what you plan to measure, and it must measure something that
changes over time.
2) You must measure the
same thing at least 5 times. You
must tell me exactly how you plan to measure the change including what
equipment you need or from where you will get your information, and the change
you detect must be measurable or countable with numbers.
3) You must give me a
relevant reason for predicting future changes.
4) You must tell me an
audience for whom the predictions you make will be relevant.
This is the person or group to whom you will address your report. This audience should not be me, this class, or some generic
group such as “all stockholders”.
5) Your project must use
the math from this course for organizing and presenting data and for making
predictions.
6) Your project must be
based on real data you either find or collect yourself.
Your topic paragraph needs to include a statement concerning why this
topic is important to you.
Comments about your Topic Name: ____________________________
_____ did not write a paragraph
_____ did not clearly define what you plan to measure
_____not likely you can measure or count this with numbers
_____ not likely this topic will change over time
_____ topic does not “important”, relevant or “do”able
_____ did not make it clear how you will get the necessary information
_____ inappropriate (or unlikely that you can obtain info from) source
_____ did not specify when you plan to make the measurements
_____ unclear that you will have AT LEAST 5 measurements
_____ unclear to whom you plan to address your report
_____ inappropriate person or agency to receive your report
_____ unclear why this person or agency should receive this report
_____ unclear why you are interested in doing this topic
Wonderful:
topic has potential for change over time, is appropriate for student's
study, potentially relevant, "do"-able
OK:
minor problems may or may not cause problems fulfilling the conditions of
the assignment; some revision should probably be considered
Revise:
major problems make it unlikely that a student can finish the assignment;
conference requested before any further work is done
Restart:
Conference with teacher required before continuing.
II) GATHERING DATA:
Report
the numbers you plan to graph and where they came from.
a) What are the times or
time periods (at least 5) you measured and what are the numbers (scores) you
recorded? [for example, 8:00 am -- 53 kg, 9:00 am -- 57 kg, 10:00 am --
54 kg, etc. or 2/15/94 -- $153,
2/16/94 -- $56, 2/17/94 -- $423, etc.]
b) If you measured
things yourself, exactly what and how did you measure?
Did you use any tools or references?
How did you decide on a scale to use to measure?
[for example, I weighed the baby every morning at 8:00 am after his bath
while he was still undressed. I
chose to use a Sunbeam electronic scale marked in grams.
I decided to use grams as my measure since I could detect smaller amounts
of weight gain by using grams since grams are smaller units than ounces.]
c) If you got your numbers from someone or somewhere else, exactly where did you get your information? [for example, "I got my information from the Department of Health and Environmental Control office on Bull Street. Kathy Cramer, Director of Public Information, was the person who helped me." or "My source was The complete guide to human anatomy and physiology, ScienceEd Publishers, pp. 35-42, 1991."
Wonderful:
appropriate choice of where (or from whom) to collect information,
appropriate
measuring device and scale used, indication given that student strived for
accuracy in collecting, measuring, and recording information collected, sufficient number of
measurements (minimum of 5) collected over an appropriate amount of time for the
report to be convincing
OK:
minor flaws exist in the accuracy or the
appropriateness of data source used or measurements collected, or the
number of measurements taken/time interval allotted meets the minimum of 5 but
is inadequate to draw a conclusion
Revise:
major flaws exist with the design of this study--data source is not the
most reliable that is available, measurements inaccurate, inadequate, or
inappropriate but "fix"-able with some additional effort
Redo:
data is not measurable with numbers, source is questionable, measurements
are inadequate, inaccurate, or inappropriate, results are not believable (by the
teacher)
III) ORGANIZING DATA/PREDICTION:
Calculate
the mean, median, and mode for your data. Turn
in two different types of graphs and make a prediction about what would happen
if you measured again.
OK:
statistics calculated and presented accurately, data is presented in two ways, graphs are neat, clear, and accurate,
prediction made is reasonable and convincing, but student fails to adequately
discuss one of the following: how sure s/he is of this prediction, the implications of the
prediction, or the factors that could make the prediction wrong, report
delivered on time but there are minor flaws in organization, clarity, or
completeness of report (If
delivered sufficiently ahead of time, may be revised to get a
"wonderful" instead)
Revise:
Data is presented in only one way, and/or representation is messy, hard
to read, or hard to understand, (charts and/or graphs that are not titled, are
not scaled properly, or are labeled inappropriately are hard to understand),
prediction report delayed or inadequate, prediction made is unreasonable or
unconvincing or student fails to do or adequately discuss two or more of the
following: how sure s/he is of this
prediction, the implications of the prediction, or the factors that could make
the prediction wrong
Redo:
Data presentation is inadequate, inaccurate, hard-to-read, or messy
IV) REPORTING DATA:
Wonderful:
written report well written, well-organized, neat, on time, and complete
OK:
written report is delivered on time, but it is not well-written or not
professional in some respect (hand-written, misspellings,
poor grammar, etc.)
Revise:
written report is delivered on time, but parts of the report need major
revision
Redo:
student fails to deliver written report on time, student fails to include
graphs or prediction or makes an unreasonable prediction based on the data
presented (whether or not the data is adequate), student fails to do all three
of the following: discuss how sure s/he is of this prediction, the implications
of the prediction, or the factors that could make the prediction wrong
V) PRESENTING DATA:
(Give an oral report to the class)
Wonderful:
student gives a complete and interesting report of the topic with
"something extra" to make it special
OK:
student gives a complete and interesting report
Revise:
student makes an effort to give a report
Redo:
student does not give an oral report